coronavirus Archives - Jennings Financial Services

‘Wall of Worry’

Shares Climb a 'Wall of Worry' - but is it sustainable? by Dr Shane Oliver - Head of Investment Strategy and Economics and Chief Economist, AMP Capital After a roughly 35% plunge from their February high point to their lows around 23 March on fears regarding of global recession on the back of the coronavirus shutdowns, share markets have since rebounded sharply, led by US shares. The rally has pushed the Australian ASX 200 back through 6000 for the first time since March. A common concern is that the rebound in share markets is “too optimistic” and “irrational” – how can share markets rebound so rapidly when economic conditions are so weak, coronavirus uncertainty remains high, the US is seeing civil unrest and US/China tensions are rising? I must admit that I have also been surprised by the speed of the rebound and think maybe the markets are ahead of themselves. But I have seen this happen before and [...]

By Bruce Jennings|2020-06-16T10:28:36+10:00June 16th, 2020|Market News|0 Comments

GFC vs Coronavirus

GFC vs Coronavirus – The current pandemic is like nothing the world has ever seen before. This time last year we were in a very different place. Many people are now questioning whether we are heading into a period of economic crisis reminiscent of the days of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Let’s compare this current Coronavirus crisis to the GFC of 2007/2008. Whilst it is still early days in the current crisis, there are similarities and differences we can make with the GFC. We believe an investor’s response to these crises should be similar, with the adage “time in the market is more important than timing the market” remaining appropriate. This is illustrated in the following chart; As you can see above, even if you had invested just prior to the start of the GFC in late 2007, in the following years you would have reaped the benefits of a strongly rising market, in both Australian and [...]

By Bruce Jennings|2020-04-08T14:59:09+10:00April 8th, 2020|Tips and Other News|0 Comments

Uncertainty, fear, toilet paper and investing.

Uncertainty, fear, toilet paper and investing An article from Bruce Apted - Head of Portfolio Management - Australia Active Quantitative Equities • What can panic buying of toilet paper tell us about investing? • Has the baby been thrown out with the bath water? • Recent correction largely typical What panic toilet paper buying can tell us about Investing Most of us have seen photos of empty toilet paper shelves in the super markets. What was your emotional response? Did you think about buying toilet paper too? Despite assurances from the government and suppliers that we have no shortages, fear can take hold of our decision making especially when there is uncertainty. As humans we are deeply influenced by the crowd. Faced with uncertainty our decisions tend to be more emotional. In this monthly note we take a look at the recent market correction in the context of human behaviour. Uncertainty and emotional decisions are part of everyday life [...]

By Bruce Jennings|2020-04-01T10:34:04+11:00April 1st, 2020|Market News|0 Comments

Market Fall On Oil Price

What has caused the Market Fall on Oil Price & Coronavirus Shocks? What happened? Global share markets have fallen in recent days driven by a collapsed oil deal and coronavirus impacts. The Australian share market fell 19.6% from its peak on 20 February 2020 to 9 March. This means the gains of 2019 have been lost with the index back at Dec-18 levels. Why have share markets fallen this much? A case of two shocks Coronavirus fears for global economic growth Share markets have fallen following growing concerns over a global Covid-19 (a.k.a. coronavirus outbreak). This virus is related to the SARS outbreak that affected Asia, notably China in 2003. It has proven to be difficult to control and sparked outbreaks outside of China, across much of the world with Italy, Iran and South Korea the most notable cases. As the outbreaks outside of China escalated, investors retreated from shares and fled to safe assets such as bonds as [...]

By Bruce Jennings|2020-03-17T13:44:37+11:00March 17th, 2020|Market News, Tips and Other News|0 Comments

Market Fall on Coronavirus Fears

Recent market falls Share markets fell last week with the Australian market experiencing one of its worst weeks since August 2011 (when people thought the EU would break up). Negative returns in any given period can happen in the share market with this week standing out for its severity. However, we also see historically shares have lost value in approximately 22 weeks out every 52 weeks since 1980. It is not a rare thing to see in the share market. Shares lost money because a rise in Covid-19 (a.k.a. coronavirus) cases outside of China saw investors sell out of shares and look to safer assets such as bonds or gold. This is because efforts to combat the virus will likely see travel, trade and business activity either slow or shut down temporarily. That would see weaker demand for goods and services, so business profits and wages are likelier to struggle in the short term. Major movers in Global Markets [...]

By Bruce Jennings|2020-03-04T13:11:39+11:00March 4th, 2020|Community Activity, Market News|0 Comments

International Markets Roundup

February 5 2020 - International Market Roundup The Nasdaq hit a record high on Tuesday and the S&P 500 posted its biggest one-day gain in about six months as fears of a heavy economic impact from the coronavirus outbreak waned after China's central bank intervened. Asia Chinese stocks ended higher on Tuesday as the central bank vowed to stabilise the market, regaining some ground from the coronavirus-led rout that erased almost $400 billion in market value from the Shanghai benchmark in the previous session. The Shanghai Composite index closed up 1.3 per cent at 2783.29 the biggest daily gain since 13 December, 2019. The blue-chip CSI300 index jumped 2.6 per cent, clocking its biggest daily gain since 1 July 2019. CSI300's sub-index for the financial sector gained 2 per cent, the consumer staples sector jumped 2.9 per cent, the real estate index were up 2.2 per cent and the healthcare sub-index climbed 3 per cent. Hong Kong stocks climbed [...]

By Bruce Jennings|2020-02-06T10:51:47+11:00February 6th, 2020|Market News|0 Comments